ישראל נאמן | Lectures, Articles, Tours: Israel | Mideast onTarget | Elliot Chodoff & Yisrael Ne'eman | Iraq: Three Points

Iraq: Three Points

23 March 2003

By Yisrael Ne’eman

The war in Iraq has entered its fourth day and almost everyone is a ‘military analyst’, most without any credentials.  With this writer’s limited military understanding, three major points need to be made.

The American ultimate hi tech army with almost as many satellites as tanks has the advantage on the open battle field, although even here there can be ambushes.  In the air war the Allies have the complete advantage and are expected to engage in pin point bombing, thereby keeping civilian casualties low.  An erratic missile could cost the Americans dearly.

Hi tech is not going to help the Americans in street fighting.  They will still have to advance house by house, block by block.  In Baghdad (pop. 4 – 5 million) this could take months and a fair amount of casualties.  A long drawn out conflict with heavy casualties on all sides (including civilians) could undermine US diplomacy, isolate Britain in Europe and damage others supporting the Anglo-American effort.  In the end this will hamper the war on terrorism and everyone will pay.

Finally, it makes no difference if Saddam Hussein is dead or not.  The Sunni power elite rules and they must be defeated.  This number involves at least several thousand high ranking military officers and government officials who represent a population of several million.