ישראל נאמן | Lectures, Articles, Tours: Israel | Mideast onTarget | Elliot Chodoff & Yisrael Ne'eman | A Hudna Cease – Fire or Disarmament?

A Hudna Cease – Fire or Disarmament?

11 May 2003

By Yisrael Ne’eman

US Sec. Of State Colin Powell is in Israel trying to move the Bush “Road Map” forward.  Israel has lifted the closure of the Palestinian territories as a first move.  Now Palestinian PM Abu Mazen is to battle against terrorism, but he prefers negotiating with the factions such as his own Fatah (Al Aksa Brigades) and the Islamic opposition Hamas and Jihad.  It is doubtful he will use force to disarm them.  They have also refused to disarm voluntarily.

This all leads to the much discussed ‘hudna’, or cease-fire.  In return for the hudna Israel is to return to its Sept. 28 positions, meaning leave all of Area A’, the Palestinian large cities where terrorism is rampant.  The Europeans and UN are buying the idea, the Americans much less so.

The problem is a hudna is a temporary arrangement in order to reorganize and gain enough strength to defeat one’s enemy in the final showdown.  Just check the Koran and the Prophet Mohammed’s tactics in defeating his enemies throughout the Arabian Peninsula.  Modern translation:  the Palestinian Authority ‘proves’ there is no violence while allowing or even aiding in the rearming of terror factions and the rebuilding of bomb factories.  When the Palestinians are ready they will renew their attacks, but this time they will be much more violent, deadlier and in exponentially greater numbers.  But there will have been a cease-fire.

Israel wants international (American) inspection of disarmament and not a ‘hudna’.  The Palestinians must prove themselves by collecting illegal weapons and enforcing law and order.  Then the IDF can begin withdrawing and remove illegal proto-settlements.  From here the path is open to every other discussion.

A hudna or breather to intensify attacks on Israel is not the answer, disarmament is.